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HL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 21, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
ML

Hoffenheim
1 - 2
Mainz 05

Bebou (39')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Glatzel (1'), Kohr (41')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawMainz 05
53.52%23%23.48%
Both teams to score 56.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.39%43.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34%66%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.74%16.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.2%45.79%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.58%32.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.06%68.93%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 53.52%
    Mainz 05 23.48%
    Draw 23%
HoffenheimDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 5.93%
3-0 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 2.39%
4-2 @ 1.52%
5-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 53.52%
1-1 @ 10.78%
2-2 @ 5.52%
0-0 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 6.08%
0-1 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 3.34%
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 23.48%

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