Both sides have considerably punched above their weight in recent times, and we can envisage a share of the spoils on Sunday.
It could be an interesting tactical battle with both managers lining their sides up in similar formations and preferring to counter rather than control, with the visitors perhaps having the edge in attack.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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