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Form, Standings, Stats

We said: VfL Bochum 1-1 Mainz 05

After suffering two defeats in Bochum last season, Mainz should be steeled for the challenge ahead, and having conceded only once throughout pre-season and last week's cup win, they can take a point home from their opening fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
VfL BochumDrawMainz 05
43.51% (0.369 0.37) 25.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 31.23% (-0.363 -0.36)
Both teams to score 55.45% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (-0.111 -0.11)48.04% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (-0.102 -0.1)70.21% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (0.127 0.13)22.05% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (0.189 0.19)55.38% (-0.186 -0.19)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (-0.295 -0.3)28.87% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.366 -0.37)64.74% (0.367 0.37)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 43.51%
    Mainz 05 31.23%
    Draw 25.25%
VfL BochumDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.51%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 31.23%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Viktoria Berlin 0-3 VfL Bochum
Saturday, July 30 at 12.01pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 3-4 VfL Bochum
Saturday, April 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Augsburg
Sunday, April 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, April 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 0-3 Mainz 05
Sunday, July 31 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Mainz 05 1-0 Newcastle
Monday, July 18 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Besiktas 0-1 Mainz 05
Friday, July 15 at 7.15pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 1-2 Mainz 05
Saturday, May 7 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 05 3-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
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