After suffering two defeats in Bochum last season, Mainz should be steeled for the challenge ahead, and having conceded only once throughout pre-season and last week's cup win, they can take a point home from their opening fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Mainz 05
43.51% ( 0.37)	25.26% ( -0.01)	31.23% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 55.45% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.96% (

-0.11)

48.04% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.79% (

-0.1)

70.21% (

0.1)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.95% (

0.13)

22.05% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.62% (

0.19)

55.38% (

-0.19)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.13% (

-0.3)

28.87% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.26% (

-0.37)

64.74% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 43.51%

Mainz 05 31.23%

Draw 25.25%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.51%	1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.23%