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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
AB

Werder Bremen
1 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld

Bittencourt (27')
Friedl (40'), Eggestein (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lucoqui (52'), van der Hoorn (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Werder Bremen in this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawArminia Bielefeld
36.46%27.53%36.01%
Both teams to score 49.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.53%56.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.53%77.47%
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3%29.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25%65.75%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03%29.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92%66.08%
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 36.45%
    Arminia Bielefeld 36.01%
    Draw 27.53%
Werder BremenDrawArminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 6.56%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 36.45%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 8.9%
2-2 @ 4.76%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.53%
0-1 @ 10.72%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 6.46%
1-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 1.91%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 36.01%


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