Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.