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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Nov 21, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
ShucoArena
LL

Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Hradecky (47' og.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bailey (27'), Dragovic (88')
Dragovic (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 2-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawBayer Leverkusen
16.63%20.34%63.04%
Both teams to score 54.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.64%41.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.25%63.76%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.89%38.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.13%74.88%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.49%12.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.49%38.52%
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 16.63%
    Bayer Leverkusen 63.04%
    Draw 20.34%
Arminia BielefeldDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 4.61%
1-0 @ 4.6%
2-0 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 1.54%
3-1 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 16.63%
1-1 @ 9.56%
2-2 @ 4.79%
0-0 @ 4.77%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.34%
0-2 @ 10.3%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-1 @ 9.91%
0-3 @ 7.14%
1-3 @ 6.89%
0-4 @ 3.71%
1-4 @ 3.58%
2-3 @ 3.32%
2-4 @ 1.73%
0-5 @ 1.54%
1-5 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 63.04%


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