Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
43.17% | 26.49% | 30.34% |
Both teams to score 51.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.49% | 53.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.97% | 75.03% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.41% | 24.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.92% | 59.08% |
Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.74% | 32.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.24% | 68.76% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 7.81% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.17% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 8.97% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.34% |
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