SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
37.55% ( 1.18) | 24.17% ( -0.11) | 38.27% ( -1.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.82% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.29% ( 0.59) | 41.71% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.89% ( 0.59) | 64.11% ( -0.59) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% ( 0.88) | 22.19% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.4% ( 1.3) | 55.6% ( -1.3) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.17% ( -0.26) | 21.83% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.95% ( -0.4) | 55.05% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.56% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.27% |
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