It is difficult to see how Augsburg can avoid defeat given the strong performances of Bayer Leverkusen in recent weeks.
Considering the visitors have also been strong at both ends of the pitch, it would not be surprising if they scored several times while keeping their hosts relatively quiet in the final third.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
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