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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
S

RB Leipzig
4 - 0
Schalke

Bozdogan (31' og.), Angelino (35'), Orban (45+2'), Halstenberg (80' pen.)
Sorloth (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Sane (64'), Nastasic (79'), Ibisevic (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawSchalke 04
65.92%19.82%14.27%
Both teams to score 50.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27%43.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88%66.13%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.59%12.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.68%38.32%
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.31%42.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98%79.03%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 65.91%
    Schalke 04 14.27%
    Draw 19.82%
RB LeipzigDrawSchalke 04
2-0 @ 11.53%
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 8.02%
3-1 @ 6.83%
4-0 @ 4.18%
4-1 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.91%
5-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.52%
5-1 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 65.91%
1-1 @ 9.41%
0-0 @ 5.3%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 19.82%
0-1 @ 4.51%
1-2 @ 4.01%
0-2 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.19%
1-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 14.27%


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