Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.