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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
vs.
St Pauli

 
Coverage of the Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and St Pauli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Sturm Graz vs. RB Leipzig
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: St Pauli 3-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, January 26 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: St Pauli vs. Augsburg
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for St Pauli has a probability of 31.43% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest St Pauli win is 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.83%).

Result
RB LeipzigDrawSt Pauli
44.88% (-6.304 -6.3) 23.69% (0.818 0.82) 31.43% (5.485 5.49)
Both teams to score 60.98% (1.188 1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.17% (-0.214 -0.21)40.83% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.78% (-0.219 -0.22)63.21% (0.21700000000001 0.22)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (-2.478 -2.48)18.48% (2.477 2.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (-4.358 -4.36)49.68% (4.356 4.36)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8% (3.617 3.62)25.19% (-3.62 -3.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (4.741 4.74)59.92% (-4.743 -4.74)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 44.88%
    St Pauli 31.43%
    Draw 23.68%
RB LeipzigDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.483 -0.48)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.588 -0.59)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-1.104 -1.1)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.734 -0.73)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.993 -0.99)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.522 -0.52)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.589 -0.59)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.178 -0.18)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.32 0.32)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.313 0.31)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.929 0.93)
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.68 0.68)
0-2 @ 4.42% (0.855 0.86)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.72 0.72)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.413 0.41)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.552 0.55)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.339 0.34)
2-4 @ 1% (0.226 0.23)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.43%

Form Guide
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, January 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, January 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 5-1 RB Leipzig
Friday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 3-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, January 26 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-2 St Pauli
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-0 St Pauli
Wednesday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 0-1 St Pauli
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


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