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VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 15, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
1 - 0
St Pauli

Hofmann (66')
Holtmann (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (69'), Irvine (72'), Afolayan (80')
Dzwigala (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: VfL Bochum 1-1 St Pauli

With both sides level on the form table, accruing six points apiece from their previous five matches, and Bochum and St Pauli seldom producing encouraging goalscoring numbers — the away side have scored the fewest goals in the league (12) — the spoils could be shared in North Rhine-Westphalia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.

Result
VfL BochumDrawSt Pauli
39.38% (-0.827 -0.83) 23.86% (0.089000000000002 0.09) 36.76% (0.742 0.74)
Both teams to score 61.96% (-0.246 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.79% (-0.356 -0.36)40.21% (0.36000000000001 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.42% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)62.58% (0.372 0.37)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.53800000000001 -0.54)20.64% (0.543 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.857 -0.86)53.21% (0.862 0.86)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (0.221 0.22)21.92% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (0.333 0.33)55.19% (-0.328 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 39.38%
    St Pauli 36.76%
    Draw 23.85%
VfL BochumDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
1-0 @ 7.14%
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 39.38%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.107 0.11)
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.153 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.16% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.094 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-0 Heidenheim
Sunday, December 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 0-1 St Pauli
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 St Pauli
Saturday, December 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 3-1 Holstein Kiel
Friday, November 29 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-0 St Pauli
Sunday, November 24 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga


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