SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | RB Leipzig |
47.22% ( 0.26) | 22.69% ( -0) | 30.09% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 63.88% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.3% ( -0.12) | 36.7% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.14% ( -0.14) | 58.86% ( 0.14) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.03% ( 0.05) | 15.96% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.74% ( 0.09) | 45.25% ( -0.09) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( -0.22) | 23.98% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.77% ( -0.31) | 58.22% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.78% Total : 47.22% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.09% |
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