As Werder are one of the Bundesliga's best away sides, they can leave Hamburg with maximum points, given St Pauli's struggles at home.
The hosts have scored just three times in six league matches at the Millerntor this season, so they may end up empty-handed against Bremen again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.04) 
