SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Augsburg |
48.58% ( 0.33) | 25.01% ( -0.18) | 26.4% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.07% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.31% ( 0.62) | 49.69% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.3% ( 0.56) | 71.7% ( -0.55) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.52% ( 0.39) | 20.48% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.05% ( 0.62) | 52.95% ( -0.62) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% ( 0.21) | 33.26% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.13% ( 0.23) | 69.87% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Augsburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.58% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 26.4% |
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