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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
HB

Augsburg
0 - 2
Hertha Berlin


Gruezo (31'), Berisha (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukebakio (57'), Richter (90+3')
Uremovic (23')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Augsburg 0-1 Hertha Berlin

With both sides struggling to find the net so far this season, it is hard to envisage too many goals between two teams short on confidence. However, Hertha have looked a more balanced outfit during the early weeks of Schwarz's tenure, and we can see them edging a narrow victory on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawHertha Berlin
33.92% (0.211 0.21) 26.58% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 39.49% (-0.301 -0.3)
Both teams to score 52% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)52.88% (0.33300000000001 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5% (-0.282 -0.28)74.49% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)29.51% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)65.53% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (-0.313 -0.31)26.22% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (-0.425 -0.42)61.33% (0.427 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 33.92%
    Hertha Berlin 39.49%
    Draw 26.58%
AugsburgDrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.115 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.92%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 39.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-0 Augsburg
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 Mainz 05
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-2 Augsburg
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-4 Freiburg
Saturday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: BW Lohne 0-4 Augsburg
Sunday, July 31 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-1 Dortmund
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Hertha Berlin
Friday, August 19 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Braunschweig 4-4 Hertha Berlin (6-5 pen.)
Sunday, July 31 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: West Brom 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1


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