Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 5 | 12 |
5 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 1 | 12 |
6 | Mainz 05 | 7 | -3 | 11 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Hertha Berlin | 7 | -2 | 6 |
13 | Schalke 04 | 6 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Augsburg | 6 | -6 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 1-0 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Schalke 04 |
61.55% ( -0.44) | 19.69% ( 0.16) | 18.76% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 60.97% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.49% ( -0.32) | 34.51% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.56% ( -0.36) | 56.44% ( 0.36) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.14% ( -0.21) | 10.86% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.04% ( -0.46) | 34.96% ( 0.46) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.4% ( 0.09) | 31.6% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.99% ( 0.1) | 68% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Schalke 04 |
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.98% Total : 61.55% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.69% | 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.38% Total : 18.76% |
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