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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
UB

Schalke
1 - 6
Union Berlin

Bulter (31' pen.)
Thiaw (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Thorsby (6'), Becker (36', 46'), Haberer (45+3'), Michel (87', 90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-0 Schalke
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Schalke 04 1-2 Union Berlin

With the visitors preferring to play in transition, we can envisage them gaining another victory on Saturday to potentially move top of the table. Schalke have remained competitive in the early weeks of the campaign but could find themselves caught between two stools in front of a demanding home crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawUnion Berlin
35.35% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 24.92% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 39.73% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.87% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.56% (0.033999999999999 0.03)45.44% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (0.031999999999996 0.03)67.78% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.034999999999997 0.03)25.08% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (0.048999999999999 0.05)59.77% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.75% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)56.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 35.35%
    Union Berlin 39.73%
    Draw 24.92%
Schalke 04DrawUnion Berlin
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.35%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 39.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-0 Schalke
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 2-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 13 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 3-1 Schalke
Sunday, August 7 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bremer SV 0-5 Schalke
Sunday, July 31 at 12.01pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Nuremberg 1-2 Schalke
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 3-2 St Pauli
Saturday, May 7 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 05 0-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, August 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Chemnitzer 1-2 Union Berlin
Monday, August 1 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, July 23 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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