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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
AL

Hoffenheim
1 - 0
Augsburg

Geiger (39')
Promel (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bauer (59')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 Mainz 05
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-1 Augsburg

Hoffenheim have been the entertainers early on in the 2022-23 Bundesliga campaign, with their games typically being full of goals that showcases their attacking prowess. The visitors have had mixed success in their opening three matches, and this weekend could be another tough challenge for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawAugsburg
60.56% (-0.235 -0.23) 20.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 18.53% (0.237 0.24)
Both teams to score 56.11% (0.462 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (0.395 0.4)40.65% (-0.395 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.97% (0.403 0.4)63.03% (-0.405 -0.41)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.99% (0.055999999999997 0.06)13% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.46% (0.113 0.11)39.53% (-0.114 -0.11)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (0.488 0.49)35.5% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (0.504 0.5)72.26% (-0.505 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 60.56%
    Augsburg 18.53%
    Draw 20.9%
HoffenheimDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.53% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.45% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 60.56%
1-1 @ 9.75% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.066 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.054 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.78% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 18.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Rodinghausen 0-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, July 31 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-4 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 Mainz 05
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-2 Augsburg
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-4 Freiburg
Saturday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: BW Lohne 0-4 Augsburg
Sunday, July 31 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-0 Augsburg
Sunday, May 8 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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