Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
