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FL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 21, 2021 at 5pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
AL

Freiburg
2 - 0
Augsburg

Sallai (51'), Lienhart (79')
Lienhart (23'), Gulde (29'), Santamaria (45+1'), Til (46'), Hofler (74'), Gunter (76'), Demirovic (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Uduokhai (15'), Gouweleeuw (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawAugsburg
41.08%26.95%31.97%
Both teams to score 50.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.23%54.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.92%76.08%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76%26.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65%61.35%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24%31.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.81%68.18%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 41.07%
    Augsburg 31.97%
    Draw 26.94%
FreiburgDrawAugsburg
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 8.55%
2-0 @ 7.46%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 41.07%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.33%
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 9.56%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 5.48%
1-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.97%

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