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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
BM

Stuttgart
2 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Guirassy (22'), Coulibaly (83' pen.)
Zagadou (77'), Karazor (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Weigl (78' pen.)
Weigl (45+1'), Lainer (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Although Gladbach clearly possess some talented players at their disposal, Stuttgart could hardly have asked for a more winnable fixture as they desperately seek to avoid finishing in the bottom three positions. Die Fohlen have been wretched on the road all season long and have very little beyond personal pride to play for at this stage of the season, so we expect Hoeness's improved outfit to claim all three points ahead of their cup semi-final tie in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 56%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
56% (0.35 0.35) 21.69% (-0.055 -0.05) 22.31% (-0.293 -0.29)
Both teams to score 59.6% (-0.225 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08% (-0.11 -0.11)38.92% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.76% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)61.24% (0.119 0.12)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.18% (0.067999999999998 0.07)13.81% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.84% (0.139 0.14)41.16% (-0.138 -0.14)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.16% (-0.316 -0.32)30.84% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88% (-0.375 -0.38)67.12% (0.375 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 56%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 22.31%
    Draw 21.69%
StuttgartDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.48% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.21% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 56%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.26% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.69%
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 22.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Stuttgart
Friday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Dortmund
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-3 Stuttgart
Sunday, April 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Nuremberg 0-1 Stuttgart
Wednesday, April 5 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, April 23 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, April 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, April 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-2 Werder Bremen
Friday, March 17 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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