In normal circumstances, we would fancy Gladbach to win, but their injuries to some crucial players and Stuttgart's improving form in recent weeks makes a share of the spoils seem the likely outcome.
Both teams may be content with avoiding defeat given Farke's side's recent losses and the visitors' rotten away form this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 1-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
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