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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 20, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
W

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Wolfsburg

Mohwald (45')
Sargent (57'), Fullkrug (90+1'), Bittencourt (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sargent (9' og.), Weghorst (42')
Schlager (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawWolfsburg
23.2%24.77%52.04%
Both teams to score 50.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.65%51.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.83%73.17%
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.06%36.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27%73.73%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29%19.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27%51.73%
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 23.2%
    Wolfsburg 52.03%
    Draw 24.76%
Werder BremenDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 7.25%
2-1 @ 5.86%
2-0 @ 3.61%
3-1 @ 1.95%
3-2 @ 1.58%
3-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 23.2%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 7.28%
2-2 @ 4.76%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 11.82%
0-2 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 9.56%
0-3 @ 5.2%
1-3 @ 5.18%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-4 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 2.1%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 52.03%

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