Both Wolfsburg and Arminia have struggled for form in recent weeks, and a victory for either side on Saturday could be crucial in their quest to survive. A closely-fought contest is set to be played out at the Volkswagen Arena, but we can see the hosts securing a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 18.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
58.98%	22.74%	18.28%

Both teams to score 49.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.95%

49.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.87%

71.12%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.71%

16.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.14%

45.85%

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.28%

40.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.69%

77.31%

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 58.97%

Arminia Bielefeld 18.28%

Draw 22.74%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 12.03% 2-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 5.94% 4-0 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.21% 5-0 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.04% Total : 58.97%	1-1 @ 10.81% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.74%	0-1 @ 5.96% 1-2 @ 4.86% 0-2 @ 2.68% 1-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.28%