Both Wolfsburg and Arminia have struggled for form in recent weeks, and a victory for either side on Saturday could be crucial in their quest to survive.
A closely-fought contest is set to be played out at the Volkswagen Arena, but we can see the hosts securing a slender victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
