While they have hit a recent dip in form, we see the hosts being too strong for their visitors on Saturday and expect them to return to winning ways against a side devoid of confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 14.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
63.81%	21.76%	14.43%

Both teams to score 44.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.52%

51.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.71%

73.29%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.49%

15.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.59%

44.42%

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.8%

47.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.36%

82.64%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 63.8%

Arminia Bielefeld 14.43%

Draw 21.75%

Mainz 05	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 13.64% 2-0 @ 12.71% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 5.93% 4-0 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.23% 5-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.97% Total : 63.8%	1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.75%	0-1 @ 5.5% 1-2 @ 3.85% 0-2 @ 2.06% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.07% Total : 14.43%