This looks set to be a tight and nervy clash between two relegation-threatened sides, but with Greuther forced to target the three points due to their situation, this should open the game up eventually and result in some goals.
Due to their overall quality advantage, and despite their dreadful run of form, Wolfsburg should manage to edge out their visitors on Sunday, although we would not be too surprised to see Greuther pick up yet another point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
