Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.