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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 20, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
DL

Schalke
0 - 4
Dortmund


Hoppe (14'), Kolasinac (66')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sancho (42'), Braut Haaland (45', 79'), Guerreiro (60')
Bellingham (63'), Dahoud (64')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 74.66%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 9.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.55%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 2-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawBorussia Dortmund
9.84%15.5%74.66%
Both teams to score 51.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.93%35.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.92%57.07%
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.61%44.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.56%80.44%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.04%7.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.91%28.08%
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 9.84%
    Borussia Dortmund 74.66%
    Draw 15.5%
Schalke 04DrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 2.95%
1-0 @ 2.87%
2-0 @ 1.16%
3-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 9.84%
1-1 @ 7.26%
2-2 @ 3.73%
0-0 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 15.5%
0-2 @ 11.31%
0-3 @ 9.55%
1-2 @ 9.19%
0-1 @ 8.94%
1-3 @ 7.76%
0-4 @ 6.05%
1-4 @ 4.91%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-5 @ 3.06%
1-5 @ 2.49%
2-4 @ 1.99%
0-6 @ 1.29%
1-6 @ 1.05%
2-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 74.66%

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