Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 74.66%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 9.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.55%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 2-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.