SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
45.24% ( 0.43) | 24.77% ( -0.07) | 29.99% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.54% ( 0.12) | 46.46% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.26% ( 0.11) | 68.74% ( -0.11) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( 0.24) | 20.6% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( 0.38) | 53.15% ( -0.38) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( -0.19) | 28.92% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.21% ( -0.24) | 64.79% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.99% |
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