We can envisage a tight match between two teams who prefer to quickly counter-attack to building possession slowly, but there is little doubt that the hosts are in much better shape at present.
Fischer's side are tough to break down and, with Sheraldo Becker and Jordan Siebatcheu both in excellent form, they pack a bigger punch, too.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
0.36) 
-0.45) 
