We expect Leipzig to record their first victory of the season on Saturday, with Wolfsburg lacking sharpness in transition to significantly hurt the home side.
Tedesco's side have been dominating games without testing opposition goalkeepers enough, but that should change in front of an expectant Red Bull Arena.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 15.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match.
0.53) 
-0.13) 
