SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 5 | 13 | 15 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celtic | 6 | 24 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 6 | 6 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Rangers win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Rangers |
51.69% ( 0.14) | 24% ( -0) | 24.31% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.86% ( -0.11) | 47.14% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.62% ( -0.1) | 69.38% ( 0.1) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( 0.01) | 18.23% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.73% ( 0.02) | 49.26% ( -0.02) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.37% ( -0.18) | 33.63% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.72% ( -0.19) | 70.27% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 51.68% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 24.31% |
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