Taking points off Ajax on their own turf is a very daunting task, and Groningen are the latest team to try to foil the Dutch champions. We are tipping Ajax to cruise to a comfortable victory at the sound of the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 85.15%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 5.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 4-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.12%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
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