Milan are generally tough opponents on home turf, but Lazio recently relieved building pressure with a win and have already toppled the champions in Naples this term. The Biancocelesti cannot afford to lose much more ground to their hosts, so a point apiece would probably suit them and also leave the Rossoneri relatively content.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.03) 
