Neither Sarri's team nor Monza head into Saturday's game in top form, and the visitors ideally should back themselves to secure a first point against Sarri's men at the Olimpico.
However, the away side's defeats at Inter and Atalanta BC suggest another loss could be on the cards despite Lazio's European exertions on Tuesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Monza had a probability of 15.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.03) 
