SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Monza had a probability of 15.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Monza |
63.88% ( 0.05) | 20.5% ( -0.03) | 15.62% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.26% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.96% ( 0.06) | 44.04% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.58% ( 0.06) | 66.42% ( -0.07) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.9% ( 0.03) | 13.1% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.28% ( 0.07) | 39.72% ( -0.08) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.98% ( 0) | 41.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.43% ( 0) | 77.57% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Monza |
| 2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 63.86% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.5% | 0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.31% 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 15.62% |
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