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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Galatasaray |
42.04% ( 1.97) | 23.54% ( -0.2) | 34.42% ( -1.77) |
| Both teams to score 62.72% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.96% ( 0.63) | 39.04% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.63% ( 0.65) | 61.37% ( -0.65) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( 1.14) | 18.95% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.54% ( 1.86) | 50.46% ( -1.86) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( -0.64) | 22.62% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.76% ( -0.97) | 56.24% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.44% Total : 42.04% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.3% Total : 34.42% |
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