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FC
Champions League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parken
R

Copenhagen
1 - 1
Rakow

Vavro (35')
Claesson (48'), Lerager (81'), Diks (84'), Falk (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zwolinski (87')
Arsenic (12'), Rundic (42'), Kochergin (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Copenhagen 1-3 Silkeborg
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Rakow 0-1 Copenhagen
Tuesday, August 22 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Copenhagen 3-1 Rakow Czestochowa (Copenhagen to win 4-1 on aggregate)

Rakow Czestochowa will need to throw everything at Copenhagen in the second leg, but the visitors will likely leave themselves exposed at the back as they go for broke. With that in mind, we can see Copenhagen completing the job in front of an expectant Parken crowd, ending Rakow's fairytale run in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 22.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
CopenhagenDrawRakow Czestochowa
53.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.67% (0.00099999999999767 0) 22.51%
Both teams to score 53.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.45% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)47.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)69.75% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)17.59% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.84% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)48.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)35.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)72.22%
Score Analysis
    Copenhagen 53.8%
    Rakow Czestochowa 22.51%
    Draw 23.66%
CopenhagenDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.42%
3-1 @ 5.66%
3-0 @ 5.46%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.37%
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 53.8%
1-1 @ 11.23%
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.47%
1-2 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 22.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-3 Silkeborg
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Rakow 0-1 Copenhagen
Tuesday, August 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hvidovre 0-2 Copenhagen
Friday, August 18 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 3-3 Copenhagen (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 15 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Copenhagen 2-1 Odense
Friday, August 11 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 0-0 Sparta Prague
Tuesday, August 8 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rakow 0-1 Copenhagen
Tuesday, August 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rakow 2-0 Stal Mielec
Saturday, August 19 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Aris Limassol 0-1 Rakow
Tuesday, August 15 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 2-1 Rakow
Friday, August 11 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 2-1 Aris Limassol
Tuesday, August 8 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rakow 2-2 Warta Poznan
Saturday, August 5 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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