SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Copenhagen | Draw | Manchester United |
46.96% ( -0.01) | 23.66% ( -0) | 29.38% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.89% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.25% ( 0.01) | 41.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.84% ( 0.01) | 64.15% ( -0.02) |
| Copenhagen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.99% ( 0) | 18% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.12% ( 0.01) | 48.87% ( -0.01) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( 0.01) | 26.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.7% ( 0.02) | 62.29% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Copenhagen | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.35% 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 46.96% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.17% 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.38% |
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