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DZ
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
CL

Dinamo Zagreb
1 - 0
Chelsea

Orsic (13')
Baturina (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mount (58'), Koulibaly (67'), Tuchel (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, August 24 at 8pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 West Ham
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Dinamo Zagreb 1-3 Chelsea

Given the threat that the home side possess going forward, we would be surprised if Chelsea keep a clean sheet on Tuesday night. However, the visitors should have far too much quality in attack, leading us to predict a relatively comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Dinamo ZagrebDrawChelsea
28.01% (-0.158 -0.16) 25.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 46.62% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 53.23% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.92% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)50.08% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.94% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)72.05% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15)32.21% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3% (-0.165 -0.16)68.7% (0.167 0.17)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (0.051999999999992 0.05)21.49% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (0.079000000000001 0.08)54.53% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Zagreb 28.01%
    Chelsea 46.62%
    Draw 25.36%
Dinamo ZagrebDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 7.84% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 28.01%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 10.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.18% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.75% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.19% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.61% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 46.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, August 24 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb
Tuesday, August 16 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 4-2 Ludogorets
Tuesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ludogorets 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Tuesday, August 2 at 6.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Shkupi 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Tuesday, July 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 Shkupi
Tuesday, July 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 West Ham
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Chelsea
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Leicester
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Chelsea
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-2 Spurs
Sunday, August 14 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-1 Chelsea
Saturday, August 6 at 5.30pm in Premier League


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