SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Southampton | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Leicester City | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | West Ham United | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.95%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 23.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chelsea in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Leicester City |
53.95% ( -0.88) | 22.56% ( 0.23) | 23.49% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 58.13% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.42% ( -0.34) | 41.57% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.02% ( -0.35) | 63.98% ( 0.35) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.61% ( -0.41) | 15.39% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.81% ( -0.78) | 44.19% ( 0.78) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.71% ( 0.37) | 31.29% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.35% ( 0.43) | 67.65% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.81% Total : 53.95% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.74% Total : 23.49% |
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