Both sides certainly know the way to goal and are comfortable taking the initiative, so this looks to be a well-balanced tie on paper. Therefore - like in 2012, when the clubs last met in qualifying - the scores could be level ahead of the return leg in Croatia.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
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