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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
M

Frankfurt
2 - 1
Marseille

Kamada (3'), Kolo (27')
Kolo (54'), Smolcic (57'), Ebimbe (75')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Guendouzi (22')
Tavares (25'), Veretout (40'), Tudor (72'), Suarez Charris (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Marseille

Frankfurt clearly head into this match in superior form and we expect them to return to winning ways in Europe as a result. Deutsche Bank Park is likely to have a raucous atmosphere with this match representing a potentially do or die scenario in terms of the hosts' progression to the knockout stages, with Marseille not exactly looking like a team capable of riding much adversity at present. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Eintracht Frankfurt in this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMarseille
36.01% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 25.03% (0.02 0.02) 38.96% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.59% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.15% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)45.84% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.84% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)68.16% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)24.9% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)59.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)23.32% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (-0.106 -0.11)57.26% (0.105 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 36.01%
    Marseille 38.96%
    Draw 25.03%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.07% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.61% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
4-0 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 36.01%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.03%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.45% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 38.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgarter Kickers 0-2 Frankfurt
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Frankfurt 5-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Spurs 3-2 Frankfurt
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 0-0 Spurs
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Marseille 0-1 Lens
Saturday, October 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Ajaccio
Saturday, October 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, October 4 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Angers 0-3 Marseille
Friday, September 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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