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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
LL

Frankfurt
5 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Kamada (45+5' pen., 72' pen.), Kolo (58'), Lindstrom (65'), Alario (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hincapie (56')
Andrich (11'), Hincapie (42'), Tapsoba (45+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 3-2 Frankfurt
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-3 Porto
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

We can envisage Frankfurt's defensive injuries causing them major problems on Saturday, with Leverkusen likely to be expose their opponents' weaknesses in transition. While the visitors suffered a setback against Porto in midweek, they were clinical in Alonso's first game in charge against Schalke last week, and will be confident of going on a decent domestic run under the Spaniard. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBayer Leverkusen
44.34% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 24.97% (-0.02 -0.02) 30.69% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.15% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99% (0.077999999999996 0.08)47% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (0.073 0.07)69.25% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (0.048000000000002 0.05)21.23% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87% (0.077999999999996 0.08)54.13% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28% (0.02300000000001 0.02)28.72% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (0.031000000000006 0.03)64.54% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 44.34%
    Bayer Leverkusen 30.69%
    Draw 24.96%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 44.34%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 30.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Spurs 3-2 Frankfurt
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 0-0 Spurs
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Marseille 0-1 Frankfurt
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-3 Porto
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 Schalke
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 4-0 B. Leverkusen
Friday, September 30 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Atletico
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Champions League


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