Although Girona are beset by injuries and inconsistent form, they should still prevail on home soil against one of the Champions League's more modest opponents. Slovan are certainly the best team in Slovakia right now, but their defensive deficiencies are magnified when standing on the European stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Slovan Bratislava
50.1% ( 0.01)	22.75%	27.16% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 61.4% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.99% (

-0)

39.01% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.67% (

-0)

61.33% (

0.01)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.21% (

15.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.06% (

44.95% (

-0)

Slovan Bratislava Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.92% (

-0)

27.09% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.54% (

-0.01)

62.46% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Girona 50.1%

Slovan Bratislava 27.16%

Draw 22.75%

Girona	Draw	Slovan Bratislava
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.72% Total : 50.1%	1-1 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.75%	1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.59% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 3% Total : 27.16%