Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Monaco |
52.56% ( 0.02) | 22.78% ( 0) | 24.65% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 58.74% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.6% ( -0.04) | 41.39% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.2% ( -0.04) | 63.79% ( 0.03) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.2% ( -0.01) | 15.8% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.05% ( -0.01) | 44.95% ( 0.01) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.76% ( -0.04) | 30.23% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.6% ( -0.05) | 66.4% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.98% 3-0 @ 5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.59% Total : 52.56% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 24.65% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: