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Inter logo
Champions League | League Stage
Jan 29, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
M
Monaco

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Monaco

Martinez (4' pen., 16', 67')
Pavard (66'), Asllani (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Zakaria (3'), Vanderson (45+3')
Mawissa (12')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 3-2 Rennes
Saturday, January 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Monaco

Considering that 17 of Inter's last 22 Champions League games have seen two goals or less, including six of their seven this season, another tight encounter is on the cards, but one that should go in favour of the hosts. Monaco have recovered from a poor start to 2025, but this will be their biggest challenge for quite some time, and the visitors may have to settle for a spot in the playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawMonaco
52.56% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 22.78% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.65% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.74% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.6% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)41.39% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.2% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)63.79% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)15.8% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.05% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)44.95% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)30.23% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)66.4% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 52.56%
    Monaco 24.65%
    Draw 22.78%
Inter MilanDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-0 @ 5% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 52.56%
1-1 @ 10.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 24.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Inter Milan
Sunday, January 26 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Empoli
Sunday, January 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Bologna
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, January 12 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-3 AC Milan
Monday, January 6 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Monaco 3-2 Rennes
Saturday, January 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-0 Aston Villa
Tuesday, January 21 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Montpellier 2-1 Monaco
Friday, January 17 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-1 Monaco (2-1 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Monaco
Friday, January 10 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-0 Monaco
Sunday, January 5 at 4.30pm in Trophee des Champions


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