SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Arsenal |
47.57% ( -0.06) | 25.23% ( -0.07) | 27.21% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.07% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.99% ( 0.36) | 50.01% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.01% ( 0.32) | 71.99% ( -0.31) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% ( 0.12) | 21.04% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.16% ( 0.19) | 53.84% ( -0.18) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% ( 0.29) | 32.79% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.65% ( 0.32) | 69.35% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 47.56% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 27.21% |
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