Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
