Newcastle
1 - 4
Man Utd

Shaw (2' og.)
Krafth (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Maguire (23'), Fernandes (86'), Wan-Bissaka (90'), Rashford (90+6')
James (37')

Build‑up

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 14.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.66%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Manchester United
14.14%	21.31%	64.55%

Both teams to score 45.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.73%

50.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.78%

72.22%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.11%

46.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.6%

82.4%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.13%

14.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.79%

43.21%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 14.14%

Manchester United 64.54%

Draw 21.3%

Newcastle United	Draw	Manchester United
1-0 @ 5.28% 2-1 @ 3.81% 2-0 @ 2% 3-1 @ 0.96% 3-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.17% Total : 14.14%	1-1 @ 10.06% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 3.63% Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.3%	0-1 @ 13.28% 0-2 @ 12.66% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-3 @ 8.05% 1-3 @ 6.09% 0-4 @ 3.83% 1-4 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-5 @ 1.46% 1-5 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.16% Total : 64.54%