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CL
Serie A | Gameweek 2
Sep 26, 2020 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
LL

Cagliari
0 - 2
Lazio


Marin (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lazzari (4'), Immobile (74')
Leiva (61')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawLazio
20.48%22.46%57.07%
Both teams to score 54.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.25%44.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89%67.11%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15%35.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.37%72.63%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55%15.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.7%44.3%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 20.48%
    Lazio 57.06%
    Draw 22.45%
CagliariDrawLazio
1-0 @ 5.68%
2-1 @ 5.44%
2-0 @ 2.91%
3-1 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.74%
3-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 20.48%
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 5.54%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.45%
0-1 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-2 @ 9.66%
1-3 @ 6.17%
0-3 @ 6.01%
2-3 @ 3.16%
1-4 @ 2.88%
0-4 @ 2.81%
2-4 @ 1.48%
1-5 @ 1.08%
0-5 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 57.06%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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