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ML
Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 29, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
CL

AC Milan
4 - 1
Cagliari

Tonali (12'), Leao (17'), Giroud (24', 43' pen.)
Diaz (73')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Deiola (15')
Henrique (5'), Deiola (38'), Strootman (41'), Godin (62'), Nandez (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawCagliari
66.56%18.94%14.51%
Both teams to score 53.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.83%39.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.5%61.49%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.08%10.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.91%35.09%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.51%39.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.82%76.18%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 66.55%
    Cagliari 14.51%
    Draw 18.94%
AC MilanDrawCagliari
2-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 9.83%
1-0 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 7.81%
3-1 @ 7.26%
4-0 @ 4.32%
4-1 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 3.37%
5-0 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.87%
5-1 @ 1.78%
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 66.55%
1-1 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 4.57%
0-0 @ 4.31%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.94%
1-2 @ 4.12%
0-1 @ 4%
0-2 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.41%
1-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 14.51%

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